# 歐洲央行理事伊莎貝爾·施納貝爾強調，持久的衝突與飆升的能源價格正產生溢出效應。

*business · news · 2026-05-26 · Devdiscourse*

## Key points

- 歐洲央行正準備在六月可能升息，無論伊朗和平談判結果如何。
- 理事伊莎貝爾·施納貝爾表示，僅高昂的能源價格就足以支持升息。
- 歐洲央行已維持利率一年未變，但近期因持續通膨而討論升息。
- 即使衝突結束，也可能無法避免升息，因基礎設施與供應鏈問題仍存。
- 歐洲央行預測多次升息，但經濟學家預期2027年中可能降息。

The European Central Bank (ECB) is gearing up for a potential interest rate hike in June, a move likely irrespective of the outcome of ongoing peace talks with Iran. Board member Isabel Schnabel highlighted that the prolonged conflict and soaring energy prices are spilling over, impacting the wider economy. Schnabel, who could potentially succeed ECB President Christine Lagarde, stressed in a Reuters interview that the current economic shock warrants more than a passive approach. Inflation is pushing above the ECB’s 2% target, driven largely by energy costs, with further increases expected. The ECB has maintained static interest rates for the past year but debated a hike last month. Isabel Schnabel remarked on the pervasive impact of high energy prices, explaining that infrastructure damage and global supply chain issues persist, indicating that even a resolution to the conflict might not avert the need for a rate increase. As inflation touches 3%, ECB's projections hint at multiple hikes, though economists predict a cautious trajectory with potential cuts by mid-2027. (With inputs from agencies.)

**Countries:** Iran, Germany

[Read the full story on Devdiscourse](https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/business/3921785-ecb-poised-for-rate-hike-amidst-persisting-energy-crisis)

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