# 奧本海默表示 SpaceX 將顛覆 1.6 兆美元美國通訊產業。

*aerospace · news · 2026-06-03 · The Star*

## Key points

- 奧本海默將 2035 年太空收入預估從 5000 億美元調升至 8000 億美元。
- 預期 Starlink 的擴張將加速 AT&T、Verizon 和 T-Mobile 的用戶及收入下滑。
- Starlink 預計 2030 年美國寬頻用戶數從 1000 萬調升至 1500 萬。
- SpaceX 目標取代智慧型手機並切入半兆美元手機市場。
- SpaceX 將於 6 月 12 日在納斯達克上市，目標估值 1.75 兆美元。

June 3 (Reuters) - ⁠SpaceX will disrupt the $1.6 trillion U.S. communications industry as ⁠the Elon Musk-led company's satellite broadband unit Starlink expands, ‌Oppenheimer said in a note on Wednesday, adding that legacy broadband providers like AT&T may be most at risk. The brokerage raised its estimate for 2035 space ​revenue to $800 billion from $500 billion earlier, ahead ⁠of the company's highly ⁠anticipated IPO this month. • The expansion of Starlink is expected to ⁠further ‌pressure cable firms, which are already losing subscribers. • Oppenheimer said companies such as AT&T, Verizon Communications and T-Mobile ⁠could see faster declines in subscribers and revenue ​going forward. • The ‌brokerage expectsStarlink to "entrench itself in many critical applications, reducing churn ⁠and increasing ​pricing power." • Oppenheimer raised its 2030 estimates for U.S. broadband subscribers to 15 million from 10 million earlier. • SpaceX's rise could also tap ⁠into the half-a-trillion-dollar handset market as ​the company aims to replace smartphones, Oppenheimer said. • "Should SpaceX execute on its mission...it will be the modern-day East India Company of space, controlling ⁠routes, infrastructure, and commerce of an entire frontier and giving it a quasi-sovereign reach, far beyond that of any ordinary corporation," Oppenheimer said. • The company is set to debut on the ​Nasdaq on June 12 and is aiming ⁠to reach a $1.75 trillion valuation in the IPO, Reuters has reported. • ​SpaceX's valuation is grounded in Starlink, which ‌has over 10 million subscribers, and ​a launch business that analysts and investors say has transformed access to orbit. (Reporting by Kanchana Chakravarty in Bengaluru)

**Companies:** SpaceX, AT&T, Verizon Communications, T-Mobile
**Countries:** United States

[Read the full story on The Star](https://www.thestar.com.my/tech/tech-news/2026/06/03/spacex-will-disrupt-16-trillion-us-communications-industry-oppenheimer-says)

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