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Prediction market traders are leaning bearish on Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock heading into the end of May 2026.
Polymarket traders assign a 71% chance Nvidia closes above $192 by May 31, 2026.
KEY POINTS
- Odds of Nvidia closing above $264 by month-end are only 2%, signaling muted upside expectations.
- Consensus estimates project Nvidia's Q2 revenue at $86.6 billion, implying 85% year-over-year growth.
- Analysts say Nvidia must exceed 80% Q1 revenue growth and offer strong guidance to trigger a rally.
- US export restrictions blocking advanced AI chip sales to China remain a key risk for Nvidia.
COMPANIES
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