# Prediction market traders are leaning bearish on Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock heading into the end of May 2026.

*fintech · news · 2026-05-05 · Finbold*

## Key points

- Polymarket traders assign a 71% chance Nvidia closes above $192 by May 31, 2026.
- Odds of Nvidia closing above $264 by month-end are only 2%, signaling muted upside expectations.
- Consensus estimates project Nvidia's Q2 revenue at $86.6 billion, implying 85% year-over-year growth.
- Analysts say Nvidia must exceed 80% Q1 revenue growth and offer strong guidance to trigger a rally.
- US export restrictions blocking advanced AI chip sales to China remain a key risk for Nvidia.

**Companies:** Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Microsoft
**Countries:** United States, China

[Read the full story on Finbold](https://finbold.com/crypto-markets-predict-nvidia-stock-price-for-may-31-2026/)

---

Canonical: https://newsio.io/n/fcd81256-3f81-4d49-97fb-525e5302d59d/prediction-market-traders-are-leaning-bearish-on-nvidia-nasdaq-nvda-stock-headin
Summarized by Newsio from Finbold. https://newsio.io/how-it-works