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Traders on prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the listing to be delayed beyond its planned June timeline.
Prediction markets show only a 46% to 66% chance of a SpaceX IPO before June 30.
KEY POINTS
- Over 94% of Polymarket bets predict the IPO will not occur before December 31.
- Nasdaq 100 rule changes could expedite SpaceX's index entry by counting both listed and unlisted shares.
- Analysts warn that a $2 trillion valuation may limit IPO investors' potential returns.
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