# Traders on prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the listing to be delayed beyond its planned June timeline.

*business · news · 2026-04-13 · Benzinga*

## Key points

- Prediction markets show only a 46% to 66% chance of a SpaceX IPO before June 30.
- Over 94% of Polymarket bets predict the IPO will not occur before December 31.
- Nasdaq 100 rule changes could expedite SpaceX's index entry by counting both listed and unlisted shares.
- Analysts warn that a $2 trillion valuation may limit IPO investors' potential returns.

**Companies:** SpaceX
**Countries:** United States

[Read the full story on Benzinga](https://www.benzinga.com/markets/prediction-markets/26/04/51772405/spacex-ipo-to-be-delayed-beyond-june-heres-what-traders-on-kalshi-polymarket-think)

---

Canonical: https://newsio.io/n/f5847831-081b-4553-988b-fa263159c9f8/traders-on-prediction-market-platforms-kalshi-and-polymarket-are-betting-on-the
Summarized by Newsio from Benzinga. https://newsio.io/how-it-works