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Kalshi traders have pushed the odds to nearly 45%, suggesting growing belief that Musk could prevail in his lawsuit against the AI company he co-founded.
Judge Gonzalez Rogers has removed key fraud claims, leaving only charitable trust and unjust enrichment issues.
KEY POINTS
- Kalshi traders now give Elon Musk about a 45% chance of winning against OpenAI after these legal changes.
- The strongest contract-based claim was eliminated, causing a drop in market confidence about Musk's chances.
- Musk seeks over $100 billion in damages and non-monetary remedies, including leadership changes at OpenAI.
- Jury selection starts Monday and high-profile witnesses, including Musk and Sam Altman, may testify this week.
COMPANIES
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